NOAA June 2021 ENSO Update: Too Early to Predict La Niña for 21/22, <10% Chance of El Niño This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the tropical Pacific, and NOAA forecasters think they’re likely to continue through the summer. Neutral is slightly favored through the fall, although it’s a close call between continued neutral and re-developing La Niña for the late fall and winter. Related: […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 10, 2021 2 Comments
NOAA: We Know All About El Niño and La Niña, But What About ‘Pacific Decadal Oscillation’? This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Tom Di Liberto We talk a lot about El Niño and La Niña at the ENSO blog, but there are other phenomena that garner interest among scientists, even if they do not have the same brand recognition as El Niño. So while we wait for a potential […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 3, 2021 0 Comments
NOAA March 2021 ENSO Update: Weakening La Niña Unlikely to Develop into El Niño in Fall This post first appeared on the ENSO Blog and was written by Emily Becker La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific, but it has weakened recently, and forecasters estimate about a 60% chance of a transition to neutral conditions in the late spring. Looking farther out into the fall of 2021, El Niño is unlikely to develop, and the chances […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 11, 2021 0 Comments
How Will Climate Change Affect El Niño and La Niña? This post first appeared on the NOAA Research News website As climate change disrupts weather patterns around the world, one overarching question is the subject of increased scientific focus: how it will affect one of the world’s dominant weather-makers? Related: NOAA October 2020 ENSO Update: Chance of La Niña Increased to 85% | Forecasters Expect Strong La Niña The future […] Weather SnowBrains | November 10, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Blog: The Rise of El Niño and La Niña This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Michelle L’Heureux We often get asked how El Niño or La Niña events form and increase in strength. The key is in the ocean-atmosphere coupling across the tropical Pacific Ocean. Without it, ENSO would not exist, and it would be considerably more difficult to predict climate impacts seasons in advance. […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 30, 2020 1 Comment
NOAA: Do You Know That El Niño Has a Little Brother? This post first appeared on the climate.gov website and was written by Sang-Ki Lee This is a guest post by Dr. Sang-Ki Lee, a physical oceanographer at the NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory in Miami, Florida. His research focuses on the interactions between the atmosphere and ocean, and how these interactions impact extreme weather and global climate. Do you […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 1, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA Enso Blog: Can Volcanic Eruptions Cause El Niño? This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Tom Di Liberto It may seem like I randomly spun a Climate/Earth Phenomena wheel, landed on volcanoes, landed on ENSO, and then decided to do a piece connecting the two. But it makes more sense than it may seem. Volcanic eruptions have had HUGE impacts on the […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 26, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA June ENSO Update: Winter El Niño Unlikely, But Not Ruled Out This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker After several months of hovering above average, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have dropped rapidly in recent weeks. The current CPC/IRI ENSO forecast estimates about a 60% chance that ENSO-neutral conditions will remain through the summer. Chances for the fall and winter are […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 12, 2020 0 Comments
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