NASA: El Niño Exits After heating up the eastern Pacific Ocean for about a year, El Niño finally died out in May 2024. The natural climate phenomenon contributed to many months of record-high ocean temperatures, precipitation extremes in Africa, low ice cover on the Great Lakes, and severe drought in the Amazon and Central America. As of July 2024, the eastern Pacific was in […] SnowBrains | July 15, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO July 2024 Update: El Niño is Over With 79% Chance of La Niña Winter El Niño’s term is over, and La Niña is favored for the school year (79% chance for November–January). Our neutral summer break is underway, so let’s pack our bags and hit the road. Summer school A quick primer for our newer visitors: El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a climate pattern that […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 12, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO May 2024 Update: 69% Chance Weakening El Niño Will Transition to La Niña by Fall El Niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. There’s a 69% chance that La Niña will develop by July–September (and nearly 50-50 odds by June-August). Let’s kick off the ENSO Blog’s tin anniversary with our 121st ENSO outlook update! Attention! First things first: our beloved editor, Rebecca Lindsey, has trained […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 9, 2024 0 Comments
As Australia’s El Niño Period Ends, Australian Snow Fields are Potentially Facing Rare La Niña & Positive IOD Winter The Australian Bureau of Meteorology announced on April 16 that the El Niño period has officially come to an end and the country is back in neutral ENSO territory. Climate models indicate that ENSO — the El Niño–Southern Oscillation — will stay neutral until approximately July 2024 with a possibility of moving into La Niña territory during the Southern Hemisphere […] Industry News Julia Schneemann | April 18, 2024 0 Comments
February 2024 ENSO Outlook: 55% Chance El Niño Transitions to La Niña in Summer On a brisk early February morning, all of us El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasters emerged from our burrows and saw our shadows. That can mean only one thing: conditions are favorable for the development of La Niña within the next six months. Yes, the February ENSO Outlook officially announces that we are in a La Niña Watch, even while, at […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 8, 2024 0 Comments
Mt. Baker, WA, Cancels Legendary Banked Slalom Event Due to El Niño The 36th annual Mt. Baker Legendary Banked Slalom snowboarding competition, set to take place this coming weekend, has been canceled. This is truly a shame as Mt. Baker, Washington, was one of the first ski areas to embrace snowboarders, and this event is paramount to the resort’s admired place in snowboarding culture. The event consists of a timed run through […] Industry News Brent Thomas | February 5, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO January 2024 Update: El Niño Reaching Peak Strength | 60% Chance of La Niña in Late-Summer/Fall El Niño is very likely close to peak strength and is likely to continue for the next few months while gradually weakening. Despite the expected weakening of El Niño’s tropical Pacific sea surface signature, impacts to global climate will continue for the next few months. Forecasters currently expect ENSO-neutral conditions (ENSO = El Niño/Southern Oscillation, the whole El Niño & […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 12, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update December 2023: 54% Chance El Niño Will be “Historically Strong” in Top 5 on Record El Niño is zipping along in the tropical Pacific. There’s a 54% chance that this El Niño event will end up “historically strong” (more details below), potentially ranking in the top 5 on record. Looking ahead, it’s likely that El Niño will end and neutral conditions return by April–June. Sail across the Pacific El Niño is associated with specific changes […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 14, 2023 0 Comments