NOAA ENSO Blog: How Does El Niño Influence Snowfall Over the United States? After the last three winters of La Niña conditions (weren’t we all ready for a change!), the tropical Pacific is looking much different this year, with a strong El Niño likely this winter (1). Historically, how has El Niño shaped precipitation (rainfall + snowfall) over the U.S.? Let’s dig in and find out! Related: SnowBrains Forecast: Colorado to Get Hammered This Weekend – 2+ FEET […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 1, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO November 2023 Update: This Winter’s El Niño is Officially a Strong Event El Niño is currently chugging along, and forecasters expect it to continue for the next several months, with a 62% chance of lasting through April–June 2024. Since we’re heading into the winter, when El Niño’s effect on Northern Hemisphere temperature and rain/snow is most distinct, today we’ll drive by some of El Niño’s wide-ranging impacts. On rails First stop—this El […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 10, 2023 0 Comments
S(no)w Pain, S(no)w Gain: How Does El Niño Affect Snowfall Over North America? This article originally appeared on climate.gov Note: The primary writer of this post is Michelle L’Heureux, but it is inspired by and reviewed by Brian Brettschneider, who is the NWS Climate Service Program manager for the Alaska region. The last several winters have been depressingly bleak for snow lovers in the Washington, D.C. area, where we at the Climate Prediction […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 27, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update October 2023: El Niño is Certain, But How Strong Will it Get? El Niño is currently purring along in the tropical Pacific. Forecasters expect El Niño will continue through the spring, with a 75-85% chance it will become a strong event. A stronger El Niño—definition to follow shortly—means it is more likely that we will see El Niño’s expected thumbprint on winter temperature and rain/snow patterns around the world. Related: 2023-24 El […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 12, 2023 0 Comments
AccuWeather Releases 23/24 Winter Forecast: El Niño Could Bring a Repeat of Last Winter to the West This forecast first appeared on AccuWeather A strengthening El Niño will make this winter different than last year in part of the United States. It will be colder with plenty more snow for millions of people who live in major cities, but that won’t be the case everywhere. The cold season is upon us, and AccuWeather’s long-range forecasters say El […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 4, 2023 0 Comments
[UPDATED] NOAA Winter 23/24 Outlook: This is How El Niño Will Impact Temperature and Snowfall This Winter… As we’re well into fall now, the NOAA is starting to nail down its forecast for the upcoming winter. These outlooks have been consistently updated every month since last year, but with winter fast approaching, forecasters can start being more specific and accurate. They were updated last week on September 21st, 2023. Related: Farmers’ Almanac 2023/24 Winter Forecast: A Return […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 24, 2023 10 Comments
Australian Bureau of Meteorology Finally Declares El Niño and Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (‘BOM’) has officially declared an El Niño, after Oceanic indicators continuously exhibited an El Niño state. Central and eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures continue to exceed El Niño thresholds. The call had been anticipated for months after the country experienced the second hottest August on record. This is the first El Niño pattern across Australia […] Weather Julia Schneemann | September 19, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA September ENSO Update: Greater Than 95% Chance El Niño Sticks Around Through March Let’s cut right to the chase. According to the September El Niño-Southern Oscillation (aka ”ENSO”) Outlook, El Niño is expected to stick around (with greater than a 95% chance) at least through January-March 2024. There is now around a 71% chance that this event peaks as a strong El Niño this winter (Oceanic Niño Index ≥ 1.5 ˚Celsius). Remember, though, […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 14, 2023 0 Comments
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