Official NOAA El Nino 2017 Update: No More El Nino Forecast for 2017… June 2017 ENSO update: pancake breakfast Author: Emily Becker/NOAA June 8, 2017 A change is afoot! After months of suggesting an elevated chance for El Niño to develop, the CPC/IRI forecast has flattened out, and neutral conditions are expected (50-55% chance) to continue through the fall. A recipe for neutral In fact, the Nino3.4 region (a key ENSO monitoring area in […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 9, 2017 0 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: El Nino is Dead, 75% of La Nina Next Winter If you haven’t heard yet, it’s looking very likely that La Nina will grace us with her presence once again this coming winter. A La Nina Watch is currently in effect. “ENSO-neutral conditions are present and La Niña is favored to develop during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2016, with about a 75% chance of La Niña during the fall and […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 9, 2016 2 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: La Nina Possible Next Winter! NOAA just released their latest Official El Nino update today. For the first time, NOAA is saying that La Nina is possible in Fall 2016. This is HUGE news as strong La Nina’s have a reputation for unloading snow on the entire USA! “A transition to ENSO-neutral is likely during late Northern Hemisphere spring or early summer 2016, with a […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 11, 2016 1 Comment
Official NOAA El Nino Update: El Nino Will Begin Its Fade Back to Normal Temps NOAA just released their official El Nino update today. They’re stating that El Nino is expected to gradually weaken through Spring 2016, returning to normal sea surface temperatures by late spring/early summer. What they don’t mention yet is the high possibility of La Nina next season… La Nina has traditionally mean huge snowfall for North America including 811″ of snow […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 14, 2016 0 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: Current El Nino is NOT Strongest on Record, Current Strong El Nino Should Last Until Spring No, the current El Nino is not the strongest on record, yet. Media outlets reporting that are incorrect. NOAA won’t be able to tell if this is the strongest on record until February 2016 when the November, December, and January sea surface averages have been recorded and compared to other El Nino years. On average, the current El Nino wasn’t […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 10, 2015 0 Comments
NOAA Official November Update: Current El Nino Is Strongest in 18 Years Yesterday, NOAA reported that the current El Nino is the strongest El Nino in 18 years just behind the 1997 El Nino event. At this point, it appears clear that the current El Nino event will not become stronger than the 1997 El Nino and will most likely en up being the 3rd strongest El Nino event on record. “The […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 13, 2015 0 Comments
Official NOAA October Strong El Nino Update: Good News for N. California, Bad for N. Rockies NOAA just released their latest El Nino update today. The current El Nino is now officially strong. Here are the highlights from their complex update: In coastal northern California, a strong El Niño year averages about 40 rainy days per winter (December 1st through February 28th), compared to about 26 during a non-El Niño winter. In the northern Rocky Mountains, […] WeatherBrains | October 8, 2015 0 Comments
“Not What I Ordered! How El Nino Is Like A Bad Bartender” by NOAA Let’s face it: El Niño is the life of the party. He’s the Most Interesting Child in the World. The good folks over at The ENSO Blog have filled up a whole blog, and still there are enough leftovers for Beyond the Data, where we don’t always blog about teleconnections, but when we do, we prefer El Niño. We’ve already written about how El Niño will push the needle toward 2015 being the warmest year on […] Weather Guest Author | October 2, 2015 0 Comments
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