NOAA ENSO June 2024 Update: La Niรฑa Likely by Late Summer After a year of dominance, El Niรฑo released its hold on the tropical Pacific in May 2024, according to NOAAโs latest ENSO update. El Niรฑoโthe warm phase of the El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), our planetโs single largest natural source of year-to-year variations in seasonal climateโhas been disrupting climate in the tropics and beyond since May 2023, likely contributing to many […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 14, 2024 0 Comments
March 2024 ENSO Update: 62% Chance of La Niรฑa by JuneโAugust This article originally appeared on climate.gov El Niรฑoโthe warm phase of ENSO, which is short for El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillationโis still hanging on in the tropical Pacific, but signs are pointing to a quick transition to neutral conditions by the AprilโJune period. Thereโs a 62% chance of La Niรฑa getting the golden ticket by JuneโAugust. Stay tuned, because La Niรฑa affects […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 15, 2024 0 Comments
February 2024 ENSO Outlook: 55% Chance El Niรฑo Transitions to La Niรฑa in Summer On a brisk early February morning, all of us El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasters emerged from our burrows and saw our shadows. That can mean only one thing: conditions are favorable for the development of La Niรฑa within the next six months. Yes, the February ENSO Outlook officially announces that we are in a La Niรฑa Watch, even while, at […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 8, 2024 0 Comments
July 2023 ENSO Update: 90% Chance El Niรฑo Continues Through Winter This article originally appeared on climate.gov The chance that our young El Niรฑo will continue through the winter is greater than 90%. Why are forecasters so confident? What are the chances of a strong El Niรฑo? And what effect does El Niรฑo have on global climate patterns? We have a lot to talk about today, so letโs get to it! […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 13, 2023 1 Comment
How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2022/23 Winter Outlook Donโt look now, but itโs winter outlook verification time! A time when I like to take readers on a statistical sojourn, a mathematical migration, through last yearโs winter outlook. By the end of this post, youโll have been provided with a non-alcoholic, numbered nightcap in the form of an answer to the question, โHow did the winter outlook do?โ (Sorry. […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 24, 2023 0 Comments