NOAA ENSO Update Jan 2023: 82% Chance La Niรฑa Will End by Springtime Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean from mid-November 2022 through early January 2023 compared to the long-term average. East of the International Dateline (180ห), waters remained cooler than average, a sign of La Niรฑa. Graphic by Climate.gov, based on data from NOAAโs Environmental Visualization Lab. Description of historical baseline period. Hello from the 103rd Annual Meeting of the […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 17, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO December 2022 Update: La Niรฑa Will Transition to Neutral in Jan-March As our regular readers will be very aware, La Niรฑa has been rolling along in the tropical Pacific for many months, and our third La Niรฑa winter in a row is underway. La Niรฑa is the cool phase of the El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillation (โENSOโ for short) climate pattern. The current forecast is for La Niรฑa to continue into the winter, […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 9, 2022 0 Comments
NASA: La Niรฑa 3 Times – Looking at This Relatively Weak but Unusually Prolonged Event In December 2022, Earth was in the grips of La Niรฑaโan oceanic phenomenon characterized by the presence of cooler-than-normal sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific. The current La Niรฑa, relatively weak but unusually prolonged, began in 2020 and has returned for its third consecutive northern hemisphere winter, making this a rare โtriple-dipโ event. Other triple-dip La Niรฑaโs […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 8, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update: Another Winter in La Niรฑaโs Grip? โ November Update to 2022-23 Winter Outlook While itโs a little intimidating to put on these oversized shoes, Iโm forging ahead in an annual ENSO Blog tradition and giving you all the juicy details about NOAAโs Winter Outlook (1). Regular readers may remember that Mike Halpert of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has been the blogโs winter outlook guru for years, but following Mikeโs retirement earlier […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 23, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO November 2022 Update: 76% Chance La Niรฑa Continues Through Winter Itโs very likely that La Niรฑa will last through the winter (DecemberยญโFebruary), with a transition to ENSO-neutral (neither La Niรฑa nor El Niรฑo) expected during FebruaryโApril. Specifically, thereโs a 76% chance of La Niรฑa through the winter and a 57% chance of neutral in the FebruaryยญโApril period. Related: VIDEO: La Niรฑa & El Niรฑo Explained in Less Than 2 Minutes […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 11, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA: Where Does Global Warming Go During La Niรฑa? Here at the ENSO blog, weโve been talking about La Niรฑa (the cool phase of the El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillation climate pattern) for going on three years now. People have started to tell us theyโre bored ask us whether all these La Niรฑas could offset global warming.The short answer is no, La Niรฑa is no match for global warming. (Footnote 1) […] Weather SnowBrains | November 9, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO October Update: 75% Chance La Niรฑa Will Last Through Winter For what seems like the 247th month in a row, La Niรฑa is still in charge in the tropical Pacific. Itโs really only been about a year with continuous La Niรฑa, as it took a break summer 2021 and re-developed October 2021, but it seems like longer! Thereโs a 75% chance La Niรฑa will be present this winter (DecemberโFebruary); forecasters […] Weather SnowBrains | October 13, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO September 2022 Update: 91% Chance of Fall La Niรฑa, 80% Chance Winter La Niรฑa Ocean and atmospheric conditions tell us that La Niรฑaโthe cool phase of the El Niรฑo-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate patternโcurrently reigns in the tropical Pacific. Itโs looking very likely that the long-predicted third consecutive La Niรฑa winter will happen, with a 91% chance of La Niรฑa through SeptemberโNovember and an 80% chance through the early winter (NovemberโJanuary). 91%! Thatโs very high. […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 12, 2022 0 Comments
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