NOAA ENSO October 2024 Update: Confidence of La Niña Emerging This Winter Decreased to 60% Chance This ENSO update first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO Blog and was written by Emily Becker. The tropical Pacific Ocean reflected neutral conditions—neither El Niño nor La Niña—in September. Forecasters continue to favor La Niña later this year, with an approximately 60% chance it will develop in September–November. The probability of La Niña is a bit lower than last month, […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 10, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO September 2024 Update: 80% Chance of La Niña From November to January This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO Blog and was written by Emily Becker. The tropical Pacific is still in neutral, but nature continues giving us signs that La Niña is on the way, and our La Niña Watch remains. Forecasters estimate a 71% chance that La Niña will emerge during September–November and expect it will persist through the […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 23, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA September 2024 Outlook: Hot and Dry for Most of the U.S. With September comes fall, meaning ski season is not far away. In the past few years, some resorts have begun snowmaking towards the end of September. For those of you yearning for cooler days, here is the September outlook, according to the NOAA. Related: [UPDATED – AUGUST 15] NOAA Winter 2024/25 Early Forecast: La Niña Returns and What That Means […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 16, 2024 0 Comments
The Ski Area Snow Report: Fact or Fiction? We’ve all had those days: The snow report is claiming an epic dump, but on the hill, it skis like only a few inches. What the heck? Is the snow report just a total lie? A publication in the American Economic Journal: Applied Economics decided to have a closer look. Snow reporting is a challenging process. Things like elevation, wind, and […] Brains Mike Lavery | July 22, 2024 12 Comments
NOAA Summer 2024 Outlook: Hotter and Drier Than Normal for Majority of the USA The NOAA recently released its outlooks for summer 2024: June, July, and August. Below-normal temperatures are expected for parts of Alaska and the northern central U.S., while above-normal temperatures are likely for most other areas. Below-normal precipitation is expected in the western U.S. but above-normal precipitation in parts of the eastern U.S. and Alaska. Related: [VIDEO] Direct Weather Winter 24/25 Early […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 27, 2024 1 Comment
NOAA ENSO May 2024 Update: 69% Chance Weakening El Niño Will Transition to La Niña by Fall El Niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. There’s a 69% chance that La Niña will develop by July–September (and nearly 50-50 odds by June-August). Let’s kick off the ENSO Blog’s tin anniversary with our 121st ENSO outlook update! Attention! First things first: our beloved editor, Rebecca Lindsey, has trained […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 9, 2024 0 Comments
Winter 2023/24 Was the Hottest Ever Recorded for the U.S. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), this last season’s meteorological winter (December 2023 – February 2024) was the warmest ever recorded. NOAA uses National Weather Service (NWS) data, which has been keeping records since the mid to late 1800s. The average temperature was 37.6 degrees F — 5.4 degrees above average. The Midwest and the East Coast […] Weather Brent Thomas | May 3, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA May 2024 Outlook: Expect Warmth With a Side of Unpredictable Rain Yesterday, the NOAA released its outlook for May 2024. The outlook predicts above-normal temperatures for the Northwest, the eastern half of the country, and southeastern Alaska, with mixed signals for precipitation but a general tilt towards above-normal rainfall in the central and southern regions and below-normal precipitation in the Southwest and Northwest. Temperature Outlook for May 2024 Northwest & Southeastern Alaska: […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 19, 2024 0 Comments
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