NOAA ENSO September 2024 Update: 80% Chance of La Niña From November to January This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO Blog and was written by Emily Becker. The tropical Pacific is still in neutral, but nature continues giving us signs that La Niña is on the way, and our La Niña Watch remains. Forecasters estimate a 71% chance that La Niña will emerge during September–November and expect it will persist through the […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 23, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA September 2024 Outlook: Hot and Dry for Most of the U.S. With September comes fall, meaning ski season is not far away. In the past few years, some resorts have begun snowmaking towards the end of September. For those of you yearning for cooler days, here is the September outlook, according to the NOAA. Related: [UPDATED – AUGUST 15] NOAA Winter 2024/25 Early Forecast: La Niña Returns and What That Means […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 16, 2024 0 Comments
The Ski Area Snow Report: Fact or Fiction? We’ve all had those days: The snow report is claiming an epic dump, but on the hill, it skis like only a few inches. What the heck? Is the snow report just a total lie? A publication in the American Economic Journal: Applied Economics decided to have a closer look. Snow reporting is a challenging process. Things like elevation, wind, and […] Brains Mike Lavery | July 22, 2024 12 Comments
NOAA Summer 2024 Outlook: Hotter and Drier Than Normal for Majority of the USA The NOAA recently released its outlooks for summer 2024: June, July, and August. Below-normal temperatures are expected for parts of Alaska and the northern central U.S., while above-normal temperatures are likely for most other areas. Below-normal precipitation is expected in the western U.S. but above-normal precipitation in parts of the eastern U.S. and Alaska. Related: [VIDEO] Direct Weather Winter 24/25 Early […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 27, 2024 1 Comment
NOAA ENSO May 2024 Update: 69% Chance Weakening El Niño Will Transition to La Niña by Fall El Niño weakened substantially over the past month, and we think a transition to neutral conditions is imminent. There’s a 69% chance that La Niña will develop by July–September (and nearly 50-50 odds by June-August). Let’s kick off the ENSO Blog’s tin anniversary with our 121st ENSO outlook update! Attention! First things first: our beloved editor, Rebecca Lindsey, has trained […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 9, 2024 0 Comments
Winter 2023/24 Was the Hottest Ever Recorded for the U.S. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), this last season’s meteorological winter (December 2023 – February 2024) was the warmest ever recorded. NOAA uses National Weather Service (NWS) data, which has been keeping records since the mid to late 1800s. The average temperature was 37.6 degrees F — 5.4 degrees above average. The Midwest and the East Coast […] Weather Brent Thomas | May 3, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA May 2024 Outlook: Expect Warmth With a Side of Unpredictable Rain Yesterday, the NOAA released its outlook for May 2024. The outlook predicts above-normal temperatures for the Northwest, the eastern half of the country, and southeastern Alaska, with mixed signals for precipitation but a general tilt towards above-normal rainfall in the central and southern regions and below-normal precipitation in the Southwest and Northwest. Temperature Outlook for May 2024 Northwest & Southeastern Alaska: […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 19, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update April 2024: 85% Chance La Niña Develops Next Winter The El Niño of 2023–24 is weakening. Forecasters estimate an 85% chance that El Niño will end and the tropical Pacific will transition to neutral conditions by the April–June period. There’s a 60% chance that La Niña will develop by June–August. Overall, the forecast this month is very similar to last month, and we continue to expect La Niña for […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 12, 2024 0 Comments
March 2024 ENSO Update: 62% Chance of La Niña by June–August This article originally appeared on climate.gov El Niño—the warm phase of ENSO, which is short for El Niño-Southern Oscillation—is still hanging on in the tropical Pacific, but signs are pointing to a quick transition to neutral conditions by the April–June period. There’s a 62% chance of La Niña getting the golden ticket by June–August. Stay tuned, because La Niña affects […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 15, 2024 0 Comments
U.S. Climate Summary for January 2024 This article was originally posted on climate.gov Highlights The arctic air mass from January 14–18 broke nearly 2,500 daily minimum temperatures county records from the Northwest to the Lower Mississippi Valley. On January 22–25, heavy rainfall brought more than a month’s worth of rain and life-threatening flooding to parts of Texas and Louisiana. January 2024 was the 10th-wettest January on […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 9, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA February 2024 Outlook: California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona Might Be Favorable for Skiing Conditions The NOAA recently released its outlook for February. For skiers or those seeking snow, the above-normal precipitation in regions like California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona might be favorable for skiing conditions, especially in higher altitudes where temperatures remain cold enough for snow. However, the warmer temperatures in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska might limit snowfall or lead to faster melting. The […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 22, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Blog: How Does El Niño Influence Snowfall Over the United States? After the last three winters of La Niña conditions (weren’t we all ready for a change!), the tropical Pacific is looking much different this year, with a strong El Niño likely this winter (1). Historically, how has El Niño shaped precipitation (rainfall + snowfall) over the U.S.? Let’s dig in and find out! Related: SnowBrains Forecast: Colorado to Get Hammered This Weekend – 2+ FEET […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 1, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA, Copernicus & WMO Agree: 2023 Will be the Hottest Year on Record The planet just had its hottest October on record and is on track to become the hottest year in the 174 years that NOAA has been keeping records. According to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Outlook, there is a greater than 99% chance that 2023 will be the Earth’s warmest year on record. This was also confirmed by its European counterpart […] Julia Schneemann | November 17, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO November 2023 Update: This Winter’s El Niño is Officially a Strong Event El Niño is currently chugging along, and forecasters expect it to continue for the next several months, with a 62% chance of lasting through April–June 2024. Since we’re heading into the winter, when El Niño’s effect on Northern Hemisphere temperature and rain/snow is most distinct, today we’ll drive by some of El Niño’s wide-ranging impacts. On rails First stop—this El […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 10, 2023 0 Comments
[UPDATED] NOAA Winter 23/24 Outlook: This is How El Niño Will Impact Temperature and Snowfall This Winter… As we’re well into fall now, the NOAA is starting to nail down its forecast for the upcoming winter. These outlooks have been consistently updated every month since last year, but with winter fast approaching, forecasters can start being more specific and accurate. They were updated last week on September 21st, 2023. Related: Farmers’ Almanac 2023/24 Winter Forecast: A Return […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 24, 2023 10 Comments
NOAA July 2023 Climate Report: Record-High Temperatures, Devastating Floods Across the U.S. This article originally appeared on Climate.gov on August 8, 2023 Key Points: Heat waves impacted much of the U.S. in July and brought record temperatures to parts of the Southwest. The region as a whole tied with 2003 as the warmest July on record. Much of the eastern U.S. has been consistently warmer than average during 2023 with 28 states […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 8, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA: U.S. Climate Outlook for August 2023 The last month of meteorological summer has arrived, as August brings a close to this three-month season. June and July will be remembered for extreme heat across the southern Plains, particularly across Texas. Elsewhere across the country, June and July were generally quite different, with the East and West mainly experiencing below-average temperatures in June and the central part of […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 4, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA: Assessing the U.S. Climate in May 2023 This article originally appeared on noaa.gov Key Points: Millions of people were placed under heat advisories as a heat wave brought record-breaking temperatures to parts of the Northwest during mid-May. Temperatures reached 89°F in Seattle and 92°F in Portland, setting daily records in both cities. Over the spring season, less than two inches of rain fell over parts of eastern […] Weather SnowBrains | June 15, 2023 0 Comments
Earth Sees 3rd-Warmest May in 174 Years This article originally appeared on noaa.gov May 2023 was Earth’s third-warmest May on record and North America’s record-warmest May. Global ocean surface temperatures hit a record high for the second month in a row. More information from the global May 2023 climate report is attached below. June 14, 2023 It was another warm month for the globe, with May 2023 ranking […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 15, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA: El Niño Has Arrived – Could Lead to New Temperature Records Expected to be moderate-to-strong by late fall/early winter The expected El Niño has emerged, according to scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. In the monthly outlook released today, forecasters issued an El Niño Advisory, noting that El Niño conditions are present and are expected to gradually strengthen into the winter. Related: Australian Bureau […] Weather SnowBrains | June 9, 2023 0 Comments
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