NOAA ENSO Update April 2024: 85% Chance La Niña Develops Next Winter The El Niño of 2023–24 is weakening. Forecasters estimate an 85% chance that El Niño will end and the tropical Pacific will transition to neutral conditions by the April–June period. There’s a 60% chance that La Niña will develop by June–August. Overall, the forecast this month is very similar to last month, and we continue to expect La Niña for […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 12, 2024 0 Comments
March 2024 ENSO Update: 62% Chance of La Niña by June–August This article originally appeared on climate.gov El Niño—the warm phase of ENSO, which is short for El Niño-Southern Oscillation—is still hanging on in the tropical Pacific, but signs are pointing to a quick transition to neutral conditions by the April–June period. There’s a 62% chance of La Niña getting the golden ticket by June–August. Stay tuned, because La Niña affects […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 15, 2024 0 Comments
U.S. Climate Summary for January 2024 This article was originally posted on climate.gov Highlights The arctic air mass from January 14–18 broke nearly 2,500 daily minimum temperatures county records from the Northwest to the Lower Mississippi Valley. On January 22–25, heavy rainfall brought more than a month’s worth of rain and life-threatening flooding to parts of Texas and Louisiana. January 2024 was the 10th-wettest January on […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 9, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA February 2024 Outlook: California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona Might Be Favorable for Skiing Conditions The NOAA recently released its outlook for February. For skiers or those seeking snow, the above-normal precipitation in regions like California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona might be favorable for skiing conditions, especially in higher altitudes where temperatures remain cold enough for snow. However, the warmer temperatures in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska might limit snowfall or lead to faster melting. The […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 22, 2024 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Blog: How Does El Niño Influence Snowfall Over the United States? After the last three winters of La Niña conditions (weren’t we all ready for a change!), the tropical Pacific is looking much different this year, with a strong El Niño likely this winter (1). Historically, how has El Niño shaped precipitation (rainfall + snowfall) over the U.S.? Let’s dig in and find out! Related: SnowBrains Forecast: Colorado to Get Hammered This Weekend – 2+ FEET […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 1, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA, Copernicus & WMO Agree: 2023 Will be the Hottest Year on Record The planet just had its hottest October on record and is on track to become the hottest year in the 174 years that NOAA has been keeping records. According to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Outlook, there is a greater than 99% chance that 2023 will be the Earth’s warmest year on record. This was also confirmed by its European counterpart […] Julia Schneemann | November 17, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO November 2023 Update: This Winter’s El Niño is Officially a Strong Event El Niño is currently chugging along, and forecasters expect it to continue for the next several months, with a 62% chance of lasting through April–June 2024. Since we’re heading into the winter, when El Niño’s effect on Northern Hemisphere temperature and rain/snow is most distinct, today we’ll drive by some of El Niño’s wide-ranging impacts. On rails First stop—this El […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 10, 2023 0 Comments
[UPDATED] NOAA Winter 23/24 Outlook: This is How El Niño Will Impact Temperature and Snowfall This Winter… As we’re well into fall now, the NOAA is starting to nail down its forecast for the upcoming winter. These outlooks have been consistently updated every month since last year, but with winter fast approaching, forecasters can start being more specific and accurate. They were updated last week on September 21st, 2023. Related: Farmers’ Almanac 2023/24 Winter Forecast: A Return […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 24, 2023 10 Comments
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